01 February 2009

The TUT spread -- playing the yield curve.

In the second lecture we talked about trading between ten-year and two-year bonds in order to take advantage of differences between our forecasts of the slope of the yield curve and the curves current slope. The course materials page has a link to a short paper on this topic, albeit focused on bond futures rather than bonds per se.

What is quantitative easing?

Willem Buiter’s blog on the FT gives a great explanation of the difference between qualitative and quantitative easing. A printable copy of the article is available on the course materials pages, and you can get to the original, with a photo of our hero, here.

Monetary policy in the UK

Short rates play a key part in our course, so you might be interested to see the letter from the (former) Chancellor to the Governor of the Bank of England setting out what the Bank’s responsibilities are. It’s on the Course materials page.

Pension funds and the yield curve

We talked briefly about the possible effects of pension fund investment on the yield curve i.e. that they might have a preference for long-maturity bonds, and that this might push long-rates down. We will look at this issue later in the course but in the meantime, the paper “In Brief - Immunization” on the Course materials page might be of interest.